Based on the data of downscaling results in the precipitation historical period of CMIP5 (Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5), the combined Method of geographical weighted regression and HASM (High Accuracy Surface Modeling Method) was used to analyze the annual mean precipitation in the future three periods of 2011-2040, 2041-2070 and 2071-2100 in the scenario of rcp2.6, rcp4.5 and rcp8.5. Through downscaling simulation and prediction, the 1km downscaling results of the multi-year average precipitation in the three periods of 2011-2040, 2041-2070 and 2071-2100 are obtained.

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Yue, T., Zhao, N. (2016). Downscaling simulations of future precipitation based on CMIP5 outputs over the Heihe River Basin (2011-2100). National Tibetan Plateau Data Center, DOI: 10.11888/Meteoro.tpdc.271243. CSTR: 18406.11.Meteoro.tpdc.271243. (Download the reference： RIS | Bibtex )

Related Literatures:

1. Zhao, N. , Yue, T. X. , Chen, C. F. , et al. (2018). An improved statistical downscaling scheme of Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission precipitation in the Heihe River basin, China. International Journal of Climatology, 38(8): 3309-3322.( View Details | Bibtex)

2. TianXiang Yue. 2011. Surface Modelling: High Accuracy and High Speed Methods. New York: CRC Press (Taylor & Francis group)( View Details | Bibtex)

3. Zhao, N. , Yue, T. X. , Zhao, M. W. , Du, Z. P. , Fan, Z. M. , Chen, C. F. (2014). Sensitivity studies of a high accuracy surface modeling method. SCIENCE CHINA Earth Sciences. 57(1):1-11.( View Details | Bibtex)

4. Na Zhao, Tian-Xiang Yue, Xun Zhou et al. Statistical downscaling of precipitation using local regression and high accuracy surface modeling method. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, DOI: 10.1007/s00704-016-1776-z.( View Details | Bibtex)

5. Na Zhao, ChuanFa Chen, Xun Zhou, TianXiangYue*. 2015. A comparison of two downscaling methods for precipitation in China. Environmental Earth Sciences74(8), 6563-6569( View Details | Bibtex)

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